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PRESS RELEASE

Euro area balance of payments (geographical breakdown for the fourth quarter of 2006) and international investment position (at the end of the fourth quarter of 2006)

25 April 2007

The current account of the euro area balance of payments (b.o.p.) recorded a surplus of EUR 21.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2006, which resulted from surpluses in goods, services and income that were partly offset by a deficit in current transfers. From a geographical perspective, surpluses with the United Kingdom, the United States and the countries that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007 were only partly offset by deficits with the group of “other countries” (i.e. all countries outside the European Union with the exception of the G7 countries and Switzerland), Japan and the EU institutions. In the financial account, net outflows in direct investment were mainly directed towards the group of “other countries”, the United States, offshore financial centres and Switzerland. In portfolio investment, foreign securities purchased by euro area residents were mainly issued in the United States, the United Kingdom and the group of “other countries”.

At the end of 2006, the international investment position (i.i.p.) of the euro area showed net liabilities of EUR 970 billion vis-à-vis the rest of the world (around 12% of euro area GDP), which represented an increase of about EUR 13 billion in comparison with the revised data for the end of the third quarter of 2006. This increase was mainly due to net valuation changes of stocks of foreign assets and liabilities.

The inclusion of Slovenia in euro area balance of payments and international investment position statistics

This press release reflects data related to the euro area including Slovenia. In particular, the changes to the euro area b.o.p. and i.i.p. compared with previous press releases involve: (i) the inclusion of transactions and positions between Slovenian residents and non-euro area residents, and (ii) the exclusion of transactions and positions between euro area residents and Slovenian residents. In addition, owing to the enlargement of the European Union at the beginning of 2007, Bulgaria and Romania are now included in the category “other EU countries” in the geographical breakdown.

Geographical breakdown of the euro area balance of payments for the fourth quarter of 2006

Current and capital accounts

The current account of the euro area b.o.p. recorded a surplus of EUR 21.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2006 (see Table 1a). This was the result of surpluses in goods (EUR 19.7 billion), services (EUR 9.3 billion) and income (EUR 7.1 billion) that were partly offset by a deficit in current transfers (EUR 14.9 billion). The capital account recorded a surplus of EUR 6.0 billion, predominantly reflecting a surplus with the EU institutions.

The largest surpluses in goods were with the United States (EUR 17.6 billion), the United Kingdom (EUR 13.4 billion) and the countries that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007 (EUR 11.6 billion). By contrast, deficits were recorded vis-à-vis “other countries” (EUR 26.1 billion) and Japan (EUR 4.5 billion).

The euro area services surplus was mainly accounted for by surpluses with the United Kingdom (EUR 4.6 billion) and Switzerland (EUR 3.5 billion).

The euro area income surplus reflected surpluses with “other countries” (EUR 6.2 billion), the countries that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007 (EUR 3.2 billion) and the United Kingdom (EUR 3.1 billion), which were partly counterbalanced by deficits with Japan (EUR 4.8 billion) and Sweden (EUR 2.0 billion).

The deficit for current transfers was predominantly with “other countries” (EUR 9.3 billion) and the EU institutions (EUR 4.9 billion).

For 2006 as a whole, the deficit on the euro area current account amounted to EUR 6.1 billion (around 0.1% of GDP), compared with a deficit of EUR 1.9 billion in 2005 (see Table 1b). This development was mainly due to a decrease in the goods surplus (from EUR 45.4 billion to EUR 30.5 billion), which was partly counterbalanced by a shift in the income account from a deficit (EUR 11.6 billion) to a surplus (EUR 1.8 billion). The lower goods surplus was mainly accounted for by an increase in the deficit with “other countries” (from EUR 109.5 billion to EUR 138.5 billion). The shift in the income account was mainly due to a decline in the income deficit with the United States (from EUR 13.0 billion to EUR 3.1 billion).

Financial account

In the b.o.p. financial account, combined direct and portfolio investment recorded net inflows of EUR 73 billion in the fourth quarter of 2006, reflecting net outflows in direct investment (EUR 57 billion) and net inflows in portfolio investment (EUR 130 billion).

From a geographical perspective, net outflows in direct investment mainly stemmed from net outflows to “other countries” (EUR 20 billion), the United States (EUR 16 billion), offshore financial centres (EUR 12 billion) and Switzerland (EUR 11 billion).

In portfolio investment, net purchases of foreign securities by euro area investors (EUR 123 billion) comprised predominantly debt instruments issued in the United States (EUR 37 billion), the United Kingdom (EUR 29 billion) and offshore financial centres (EUR 14 billion), and equity securities issued in “other countries” (EUR 11 billion).

Other investment recorded net outflows of EUR 98 billion. These predominantly resulted from net outflows to the United Kingdom (EUR 99 billion).

International investment position at the end of 2006

At the end of 2006, the i.i.p. of the euro area recorded net liabilities of EUR 970 billion vis-à-vis the rest of the world (representing around 12% of euro area GDP). This amounted to an increase of EUR 13 billion in comparison with the revised data for the end of the third quarter of 2006 (see Table 2). This increase was mainly caused by “other changes” (primarily revaluations, due to exchange rate and asset price changes, or reclassifications).

The change in the net i.i.p. largely resulted from an increase in the net liability position in portfolio investment (from EUR 1,295 billion to EUR 1,474 billion), which was partly offset by a decrease in the net liability position in other investment (from EUR 405 billion to EUR 280 billion) and an increase in the net asset position in direct investment (from EUR 433 billion to EUR 473 billion).

Data revisions

This press release incorporates revisions of the b.o.p. (with a geographical breakdown) as from the first quarter of 2004 and of the i.i.p. as from the first quarter of 2006. The revisions of the b.o.p. primarily affected direct, portfolio and other investment, as well as the income on direct and other investment. The revisions to the i.i.p. mostly affected the net liability positions in portfolio investment and in other investment for the first and third quarters of 2006.

Additional information on the euro area balance of payments and international investment position

Geographical details for the quarterly b.o.p. of the euro area are not available for the items portfolio investment liabilities, financial derivatives or reserve assets. Geographical details of the i.i.p. are only available at an annual frequency.

The ECB and the Statistical Office of the European Communities (Eurostat) each issue a press release on the quarterly b.o.p. for the euro area and the European Union (see Eurostat’s Euro-Indicators news releases). In line with the agreed allocation of responsibilities, the ECB compiles and disseminates monthly and quarterly b.o.p. statistics for the euro area, whereas Eurostat focuses on quarterly and annual aggregates for the European Union. These data comply with international standards, particularly those set out in the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual (fifth edition). The aggregates for the euro area and the European Union are compiled consistently on the basis of Member States’ transactions and positions with residents of countries outside the euro area and outside the European Union respectively.

A complete set of updated euro area b.o.p. and i.i.p. statistics is available in the “Statistics” section of the ECB’s website under the headings “Data services”/“Latest monetary, financial markets and balance of payments statistics”.

These data, as well as the euro area data according to the composition of the euro area at the time of the reference period, can be downloaded using the ECB’s Statistical Data Warehouse (SDW).

The results will be published in the May 2007 issues of the ECB’s Monthly Bulletin and the Statistics Pocket Book.

A detailed methodological note is available on the ECB’s website.

The next quarterly press release on the euro area b.o.p. (including geographical details) and i.i.p. will be published on 17 July 2007.

Annexes

Table 1a: Quarterly balance of payments of the euro area with a geographical breakdown (Q4 2006)

Table 1b: Quarterly balance of payments of the euro area with a geographical breakdown (four-quarter cumulated transactions ending in Q4 2005 and in Q4 2006)

Table 2: Quarterly balance of payments and international investment position of the euro area

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