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Fourth Joint Central Bank Research Conference

Frankfurt am Main, 08-09 November 2005

Day 1 - Tuesday, 08 November 2005
8:00-8:30 Registration and Coffee
8:30-9:00 Opening Remarks: Otmar Issing (European Central Bank)  pdf 62 kB, en

9:00-10:55 Session 1: Non-Bank Financial Institutions and Systemic Risk
Chair: José Viñals (Banco de Espana)

Systemic Risk and Hedge Funds  pdf 705 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 405 kB, en
Nicholas Chan (Alpha Simplex Group), Mila Getmansky-Sherman ( 1 ) (University of Massachusetts), Shane Haas (Alpha Simplex Group) and Andrew Lo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Managerial Incentives and Financial Contagion  pdf 152 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 54 kB, en
Sujit Chakravorti ( 1 ) (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago) and Subir Lall (International Monetary Fund)

Liquidity Coinsurance, Moral Hazard and Financial Contagion  pdf 255 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 161 kB, en
Sandro Brusco (State University of New York and University Carlos III) and Fabio Castiglionesi ( 1 ) (University Autonoma de Barcelona)

Discussant: Kostantinos E. Tsatsaronis (Bank for International Settlements)  pdf 284 kB, en

General Discussion

10:55-11:15 Coffee

11:15-13:10 Session 2: Liquidity Risk and Contagion
Chair: Paolo Angelini (Banca d’Italia)

Illiquidity in the Interbank Payment System Following Wide-Scale Disruptions  pdf 252 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 252 kB, en
Morten L. Bech ( 1 ) (Federal Reserve Bank of New York) and Rod Garratt (University of California, Santa Barbara)

Liquidity Risk in Securities Settlement  pdf 167 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 197 kB, en
Johan Devriese (National Bank of Belgium) and Janet Mitchell (National Bank of Belgium)

Interbank Contagion: Evidence from Real Transactions  pdf 275 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 66 kB, en
Rajkamal Iyer (INSEAD) and José Luis Peydró-Alcalde ( 1 ) (European Central Bank)

Discussant: Rafael Repullo (Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros)  pdf 133 kB, en

General Discussion

13:10-14:15 Lunch

14:15-16:10 Session 3: Credit Risk Transfer and Trading in Credit Markets
Chair: Peter Praet (National Bank of Belgium)

Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads with Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms  pdf 314 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 852 kB, en
Benjamin Yibin Zhang ( 1 ) (Moody’s KMV), Hao Zhou (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) and Haibin Zhu (Bank for International Settlements)

Insider Trading in Credit Derivatives  pdf 291 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 151 kB, en
Viral V. Acharya (London Business School) and Timothy C. Johnson ( 1 ) (London Business School)

The Determinants of Market Frictions in the Corporate Market  pdf 250 kB, en
Andrew Levin (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System), Roberto Perli (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) and Egon Zakrajŝek ( 1 ) (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Discussant: Reint Gropp (European Central Bank)  pdf 47 kB, en

General Discussion

16:10-16:30 Coffee

16:30-18:30 Panel discussion: “The Policy Implications of the Developments in Credit Derivatives and Structured Finance”
Lucas Papademos (European Central Bank, Chair)  pdf 70 kB, en, Sean Kavanagh (Deutsche Bank), Eiji Hirano (Bank of Japan)  pdf 43 kB, en, Michael Alix (Bear Stearns), Roger Ferguson (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)  pdf 34 kB, en

20:00 Dinner speech: André Icard (Bank for International Settlements)  pdf 33 kB, en

Day 2 - Wednesday, 09 November 2005
8:45-9:00 Coffee

9:00-10:55 Session 4: Systemic Risk Across Countries
Chair: Fabio Panetta (Banca d’Italia)

Banking System Stability: A Cross-Atlantic Perspective  pdf 1.1 MB, en
Presentation:  pdf 645 kB, en
Philipp Hartmann ( 1 ) (European Central Bank), Stefan Straetmans (Maastricht University) and Casper de Vries (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Estimating Systemic Risk in the International Financial System  pdf 1.5 MB, en
Presentation:  pdf 735 kB, en
Söhnke M. Bartram ( 1 ) (Lancaster University), Gregory W. Brown (University of North Carolina) and John E. Hund (University of Texas)

A Large Speculator in Contagious Currency Crises: A Single “George Soros” Makes Countries more Vulnerable to Crises, but Mitigates Contagion  pdf 299 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 600 kB, en
Kenshi Taketa (Bank of Japan)

Discussant: Hans Degryse (Leuven University)  pdf 98 kB, en

General Discussion

10:55-11:15 Coffee

11:15-13:10 Session 5: Risk Measurement and Market Dynamics
Chair: Hung Tran (International Monetary Fund)

Bank Credit Risk, Common Factors, and Interdependence of Credit Risk in Money Markets: Observed vs. Fundamental Prices of Bank Credit Risk  pdf 982 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 184 kB, en
Naohiko Baba ( 1 ) (Bank of Japan) and Shinichi Nishioka (Bank of Japan)

Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification  pdf 723 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 217 kB, en
Samuel Hanson (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), M. Hashem Pesaran ( 1 ) (University of Cambridge) and Til Schuermann (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models with Desk-Level Data  pdf 294 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 101 kB, en
Jeremy Berkowitz (University of Houston), Peter Christoffersen ( 1 ) (McGill University) and Denis Pelletier (North Carolina State University)

Discussant: Joachim Coche (European Central Bank)  pdf 180 kB, en

General Discussion

13:10-14:35 Lunch

14:35-16:30 Session 6: Stress Testing and Financial Stability Policies
Chair: Hiroshi Nakaso (Bank of Japan)

Corporate Defaults and Large Macroeconomic Shocks  pdf 591 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 149 kB, en
Mathias Drehmann ( 1 ) (Bank of England), Andrew J. Patton (Bank of England) and Steffen Sorensen (Bank of England)

Exploring Interactions between Real Activity and the Financial Stance  pdf 794 kB, en
Presentation:  pdf 522 kB, en
Tor Jacobson (Sveriges Riksbank), Jesper Lindé (Sveriges Riksbank) and Kasper Roszbach ( 1 ) (Sveriges Riksbank)

Selected Indicators of Financial Stability  pdf 237 kB, en
Bill Nelson (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) and Roberto Perli ( 1 ) (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Discussant: Mark Flannery (University of Florida)  pdf 80 kB, en

General Discussion

16:30-16:50 Concluding Remarks: Lucrezia Reichlin (European Central Bank)  pdf 63 kB, en

( 1 ) Name of paper presenter

SEE ALSO

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