Ni na voljo v slovenščini.
Noémie Lecourt
- 25 June 2026
- ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOXEconomic Bulletin Issue 4, 2026Details
- Abstract
- This box analyses the impact of prices of imports from China on euro area goods inflation. Inflation for China-exposed goods has been persistently lower than total goods inflation, with model-based estimates suggesting that shocks which bring down the prices of imports from China by 10% in exposed sectors reduce inflation by 0.1-0.7 percentage points in key categories such as furniture and appliances. A historical decomposition estimated over the period between January 2002 and April 2026 shows that, cumulatively, import price shocks from China reduced goods inflation by 0.27 percentage points by April 2026, with delayed effects from the appreciation of the euro in 2025 further dampening goods inflation.
- JEL Code
- E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
C32 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models, Multiple Variables→Time-Series Models, Dynamic Quantile Regressions, Dynamic Treatment Effect Models, Diffusion Processes
F14 : International Economics→Trade→Empirical Studies of Trade
- 18 March 2025
- ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOXEconomic Bulletin Issue 2, 2025Details
- Abstract
- This box compares euro area export performance in high-tech sectors with that of China and the United States. While the euro area has maintained market share in several fast-growing high-tech sectors, it has underperformed in large medium-high-tech sectors. The latter, by virtue of their size, drive overall export growth and account for most of the euro area’s losses and China’s gains in export market shares. Both the United States and China have introduced new policies to boost their exports in specific sectors, and the strong export performance of the United States may be attributed to incentives introduced by the Inflation Reduction Act and the CHIPS and Science Act.
- JEL Code
- F13 : International Economics→Trade→Trade Policy, International Trade Organizations
F14 : International Economics→Trade→Empirical Studies of Trade
F62 : International Economics→Economic Impacts of Globalization→Macroeconomic Impacts
O33 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Technological Change, Research and Development, Intellectual Property Rights→Technological Change: Choices and Consequences, Diffusion Processes