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  • Joint Česká národní banka/European Central Bank/European Systemic Risk Board Workshop 2019

Sources of structural systemic risk in the financial system: identification and measurement

Wednesday, 3 July 2019

Česká národní banka Congress Centre
Senovážné náměstí 30, Prague 1

Participation is by invitation only.

Programme

All times are local.

8:30

Registration and coffee

9:00

Opening remarks

Tomáš Nidetzký, Deputy Governor, Česká národní banka

9:15

Session 1 – Contagion and interconnectedness

Chair: Ianna Yordanova, Danmarks Nationalbank

Contagion accounting

Presenter: Anne-Caroline Hüser, Goethe University Frankfurt/Deutsche Bundesbank

Co-authors:

  • Iñaki Aldasoro, Bank for International Settlements
  • Christoffer Kok, European Central Bank

Systemic risk: far beyond direct links

Presenter: Vitor Oliveira, Banco de Portugal

Co-author: Nuno Azevedo, Banco de Portugal

Economic shocks, financial contagion and systemic risk in the euro area

Presenter: Gabriele Torri, European Central Bank

Co-authors:

  • Mattia Montagna, European Central Bank
  • Giovanni Covi, European Central Bank

Discussant: Martín Saldías, European Central Bank

10:45

Coffee break

11:00

Session 2 – Sources of systemic risk in the non-banking sector

Chair: Petr Jakubik, European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority

Insurers’ use of derivatives: too low?

Presenter: Elisa Letizia, European Central Bank

Co-author: Linda Fache Rousová, European Central Bank

Interconnections between the French asset management sector and the rest of the French financial system

Presenter: Dilyara Salakhova, Banque de France

Co-authors:

  • Kheira Benhami, Autorité des Marchés Financiers
  • Caroline Le Moign, Autorité des Marchés Financiers
  • Alexandre Vinel, Directorate-General of the French Treasury

Systemicness and vulnerability of banks and funds in the euro area

Presenter: Spyros Palligkinis, European Central Bank

Co-authors:

  • Harun Mirza, European Central Bank
  • Diego Moccero, European Central Bank
  • Cosimo Pancaro, European Central Bank

Discussant: Marco D’Errico, European Systemic Risk Board

12:30

Lunch

14:00

Keynote address

Wolf Wagner, Rotterdam School of Management/Centre for Economic Policy Research

14:45

Session 3 – Structural risks in the banking sector

Chair: Dilan Ölcer, Sveriges Riksbank

Bank complexity and bank leverage: a complex relationship

Presenter: Justine Pedrono, Banque de France/Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Régulation

Co-authors:

  • Matthieu Bussière, Banque de France
  • Baptiste Meunier, Banque de France

Systemic liquidity shortfall: A macroprudential monitoring indicator of liquidity risk

Presenter: Ulrich Krüger, Deutsche Bundesbank

Co-authors:

  • Christoph Roling, Deutsche Bundesbank
  • Leonid Silbermann, Deutsche Bundesbank
  • Lui-Hsian Won, Deutsche Bundesbank

Credit risk analysis of bank corporate lending in the euro area using two–mode networks

Presenter: Martín Saldías, European Central Bank

Co-authors:

  • Hannah Hempell, European Central Bank
  • Tobias Herbst, European Central Bank
  • Charalampos Kouratzoglou, European Central Bank

Discussant: Simona Malovaná, Česká národní banka

16:15

Closing remarks

16:30
End of workshop
Call for paper information

Submission deadline: 3 May 2019

Call for Papers

Joint Česká národní banka/European Central Bank/European Systemic Risk Board Workshop 2019

Sources of Structural Systemic Risk in the Financial System: Identification and Measurement

3 July 2019, Prague

On 3 July 2019 Česká národní banka will host a workshop on “Sources of structural systemic risk in the financial system: identification and measurement”, organised jointly with the ECB’s Macroprudential Analysis Group and the ESRB’s Analysis Working Group.

Preventing and mitigating systemic risk is a key objective for macroprudential authorities. The structural dimension of systemic risk encompasses characteristics of the financial sector that can make it more vulnerable to adverse financial shocks and amplify their effects. Structural systemic risks may arise from factors such as interconnectedness among financial institutions through direct and indirect exposures, moral hazard and misaligned incentives, or banking sector size and concentration. Quantitative methods for identifying and measuring structural systemic risks are crucial to inform and guide macroprudential policy decisions.

Topics

This workshop aims to create a platform for academics and policymakers to present and discuss novel approaches to identifying and measuring structural systemic risk. Submissions of papers based on either theoretical or empirical approaches are encouraged.

Submissions are invited on, but not limited to, the following topics:

  • methods for the assessment of the direct and indirect interconnectedness of financial institutions;
  • methods for the assessment of structural systemic risks stemming from the non-bank financial sector, the real economy and the external sector;
  • operational tools for the monitoring of structural systemic risk;
  • methods for the assessment of structural systemic risks stemming from the sovereign-bank nexus and non-performing loans;
  • risks related to changes in the structure of the banking sector, including banks’ business models;
  • interaction between structural risks and other risks (e.g. cyclical risk).

Submissions

Contributions are welcome from authors from all member institutions of the Eurosystem and the ESRB as well as from academia. The workshop is an opportunity to exchange views on state-of-the-art models and tools for macroprudential risk analysis and assessment, with a particular focus on the practical applicability of tools for policymaking institutions.

Authors are invited to submit their contributions (full papers or extended abstracts) by 3 May 2019 to EURiskWorkshop@ecb.europa.eu. Authors of accepted papers will be notified by 31 May 2019.

Expenses

Please note that travel and accommodation expenses will not be reimbursed by the organisers.

Organising committee

  • Carsten Detken (European Central Bank)
  • Hannah Hempell (European Central Bank)
  • Piotr Kusmierczyk (European Systemic Risk Board)
  • Simona Malovaná (Česká národní banka)
  • Tuomas Peltonen (European Systemic Risk Board)
  • Mara Pirovano (European Central Bank)
  • Marek Rusnák (European Central Bank)
  • Martín Saldías (European Central Bank)
  • Thomas Schepens (Nationale Bank van België/Banque Nationale de Belgique)
  • Shirley Simmons-Nocca (European Systemic Risk Board)