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Kenny, Geoff

Research

Division

Monetary Policy Research

Current position

Head of Section

Fields of interest

Mathematical and Quantitative Methods,
Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

Email

geoff.kenny@ecb.europa.eu

Other current responsibilities
  • 2018-
    ECB Consumer Expectations Survey
  • 2018-
    Co-Chair ESCB Internet Survey Contact Group
  • 2017-
    Deputy Leader, Research Group on Monetary Policy Strategy and Implementation
Education
  • 1996-1998
    MSc. Financial Mathematics, Dublin City University, Ireland
  • 1993-1994
    MA Economics and Finance, National University of Ireland, Maynooth
  • 1987-1991
    BSc. Finance, St. Joseph University, Philiadelphia, USA
Professional experience
  • 2017-
    Head of Monetary Economics Section - Monetary Policy Research Division, Directorate General Research, European Central Bank
  • 2016-2019
    Coordinating Editor, ECB Research Bulletin
  • 2011-2016
    Deputy Head of Division - Monetary Policy Research Division, Directorate General Research, European Central Bank
  • 2008-2011
    Deputy Head of Division - Econometric Modelling Division, Directorate General Research, European Central Bank
  • 2004-2008
    Head of Prices and Costs Section - Euro Area Macroeconomic Developments Division, Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank
  • 1999-2004
    Economist/Principal Economist - Euro Area Macroeconomics Division, Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank
  • 1994-1999
    Economist - Economic Analysis, Research and Publications Department, Central Bank of Ireland
Teaching experience
  • 1996-1997
    Lecturer in International Monetary Economics and Policy - Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business, University College Dublin, Ireland
  • 1993-1994
    Lecturer in Economics and Finance - National University of Ireland, Maynooth, Ireland

ECB Working Paper Series

2020
Christelis, Dimitris, Georgarakos, Dimitris, Jappelli, Tullio, Kenny, Geoff
The Covid-19 crisis and consumption: survey evidence from six EU countries
No 2507
2018
Duca, Ioana A., Kenny, Geoff, Reuter, Andreas
Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: micro evidence from a large euro area survey
No 2196
2017
Kenny, Geoff, Dovern, Jonas
The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?
No 1999
2014
Kenny, Geoff, Kostka, Thomas, Masera, Federico
Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
No 1679
2013
Kenny, Geoff, Kostka, Thomas, Masera, Federico
Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF
No 1540
2012
Kenny, Geoff, Kostka, Thomas, Masera, Federico
How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?
No 1446
2010
Kenny, Geoff, Genre, Véronique, Meyler, Aidan, Timmermann, Allan
Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
No 1277
2002
Forsells, Magnus, Kenny, Geoff
The rationality of consumers' inflation expectations: survey-based evidence for the euro area
No 163

ECB Occasional Paper Series

2017
Arioli, Rodolfo, Bates, Colm, Dieden, Heinz Christian, Duca, Ioana, Friz, Roberta, Gayer, Christian, Kenny, Geoff, Meyler, Aidan, Pavlova, Iskra
EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
No 186
2011
Kenny, Geoff, Morgan, Julian
Some lessons from the financial crisis for the economic analysis
No 130
2007
Kenny, Geoff, Genre, Véronique, Bowles, Carlos, Friz, Roberta, Meyler, Aidan, Rautanen, Tuomas
The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
No 59
2004
Kenny, Geoff, Ahnert, Henning
Quality adjustment of European price statistics and the role for hedonics
No 15

ECB Research bulletin

2021
Kenny, Geoff, Duca, Ioana
Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?
No 79

Journal publications

2020
Duca-Radu, I. Kenny, G. and A. Reuter
Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Multi Country Survey
Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming
Dovern, J. G. Kenny
Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area
International Journal of Central banking, forthcoming
2015
Kenny, G., Kostka, T. and Masera, F.
Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the ECB SPF
International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 11 (4),
Kenny, G., Kostka, T. and Masera, F.
Density forecast features and density forecast performance: A panel analysis
Empirical Economics, Vol. 48 (3), pp.1203-1231
2014
Kenny, G. Kostka, T. and Masera, F.
How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 33(3), pp.163-185
2013
Genre, V. Kenny, G. Meyler, A. and Timmermann A.
Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 29, pp.108-120
2010
Bowles, C., Friz, R. Genre, V. Kenny, G. Meyler, A. Rautanen, T.
An evaluation of the growth and unemployment forecasts in the ECB SPF
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, Vol. 4(2), pp. 1-28
2004
Forsells, M. and Kenny, G.
Survey expectations, rationality and the dynamics of euro area inflation
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, Vol. 1(1), pp. 13-41
2003
Kenny, G.
Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply
Economic Modelling, Vol. 20, pp. 1097-1111
1999
Kenny, G.
Modelling the demand and supply sides of the housing market: evidence from Ireland
Economic Modelling, Vol. 16, pp. 389-409
Kenny, G. and McGettigan, D.
Modelling Traded, Non-Traded and Aggregate Prices in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland
The Manchester School, Vol 67 (1), pp. 60-88
1998
Kenny, G. and McGettigan, D.
Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Import Prices: The Case of Ireland
Applied Economics, Vol. 30, pp. 1147-1155
1997
Kenny, G and McGettigan D.
Low Inflation or Price Stability? A Look at the Issues
Irish Banking Review, Winter Issue, pp. 2-16
Kenny, G. and McGettigan, D.
Inflation in Ireland: Theory and Evidence
Journal of the Statistical and Social Enquiry Society of Ireland, Vol XXVII, pp. 157-203

Other publications

2011
Anderton, B. and Kenny, G.
Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
Cambridge University Press, Combridge, UK.
2010
Kenny, G. and Forsells, M.
Further evidence on the properties of consumers’ inflation expectations in the Euro Area
Inflation Expectations, Peter J. N. Sinclair (ed.), Routledge, Chapter 6