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Marta Bańbura

Economics

Division: Forecasting and Policy Modelling
Current Position: Lead Economist
Fields of interest: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods,Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
Email: marta.banbura@ecb.europa.eu

Biography

Education: 2004-2009
PhD in Economics, Universite libre de Bruxelles, Belgium; 2002-2004
MA in Statistics, Universite libre de Bruxelles, Belgium; 1997-2002
MSc in Mathematics, Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland
Professional experience: 2017-
Principal Economist - Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division, Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank; 2014-2017
Principal Economist - Output and Demand Division, Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank; 2010-2014
Economist - Euro Area Macroeconomic Developments Division, Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank; 2008-2010
Graduate Programme Participant - Econometric Modelling Division, Directorate General Research, European Central Bank; 2007-2008
Graduate Programme Participant - Statistical Information Services Division, Directorate General Statistics, European Central Bank; 2005-2006
Research Analyst - Euro Area Accounts and Economics Statistics Division, Directorate General Statistics, European Central Bank
Teaching experience: 2015-2017
Graduate Econometrics - ECARES, Universite libre de Bruxelles, Belgium

ECB publications

3 May 2021

Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?

19 October 2020

PCCI – a data-rich measure of underlying inflation in the euro area

25 September 2020

Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?

26 March 2020

Short-term forecasting of euro area economic activity at the ECB

Economic Bulletin Issue ,

29 October 2018

Business investment in EU countries

12 September 2014

Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections

9 July 2013

Now-casting and the real-time data flow

8 December 2010

20 May 2010

Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data

14 November 2008

Large Bayesian VARs

28 October 2008

Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model

23 May 2007

A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP

External publications

2015

International Journal of Forecasting

Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections

Banbura
M.
Giannone
D. and Lenza M.

2014

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Factor Models On Datasets With Arbitrary Pattern Of Missing Data

Banbura M. and Modugno M.

2011

International Journal of Forecasting

A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP

Banbura M. and Rünstler G.

2010

Journal of Applied Econometrics,

Large Bayesian vector auto regressions

Banbura
M.
Giannone
D. and Reichlin
L.

2010

OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis

Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model

Angelini
E.
Banbura M. and Rünstler G.

2013

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Now-casting and the real-time data flow

Banbura
M.
Giannone
D.
Modugno
M. and Reichlin
L.

2011

The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Nowcasting

Banbura
M.
Giannone
D. and Reichlin
L.