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  • Joint workshop of the European Central Bank and the Deutsche Bundesbank

9th ESCB Workshop on Emerging markets

Day I – 1 December

8.30 Registration
9.00 Welcoming remarks by Peter Praet (Member of the Executive Board, European Central Bank)
9.15 Keynote speaker: Beatrice Weder di Mauro (German Council of Economic Experts and University of Mainz)
Title: “What is an Emerging Market these days?”
  Session I – Chair: Marcel Fratzscher (European Central Bank) – Banking and Emerging Markets
10.15 Foreign Banks During the Crisis: Sinner or Saints?
Ralph De Haas (EBRD)*
Yevgeniya Korniyenko (EBRD)
Elena Loukoianova (IMF)
Alexander Pivovarsky (EBRD)

Discussant: Zuzana Fungáčová (Bank of Finland)
11:00 Coffee break
11.20 Home Bank Intermediation of Foreign Direct Investment
Steven Poelhekke (De Nederlandsche Bank)

Discussant: Yevgeniya Korniyenko (EBRD)
12.05 Bank Funding, Securitization and Loan Terms: Evidence from Foreign Currency Lending
Karolin Kirschenmann (Aalto University School of Economics)*
Martin Brown (Swiss National Bank and CentER - Tilburg University)
Steven Ongena (CentER - Tilburg University)

Discussant: Livio Stracca (European Central Bank)
12.50 – 14.30 Lunch (Room CVII)
  Session II – Chair: Heinz Herrmann (Deutsche Bundesbank) – Financial Markets and Capital Flows
14.30 Central Bank Transparency and Financial Market Expectations: The Case of Emerging Markets
Matthias Neuenkirch (Phillips-University Marburg)

Discussant: Diego Saravia (Banco Central de Chile)
15.15 Spatial Spillovers in Emerging Market Spreads
Tigran Poghosyan (IMF)*
Emanuele Baldacci (IMF)
Salvatore Dell’Erba (IMF)

Discussant: Mardi Dungey (University of Tasmania and CAMA)
16.00 Coffee break
16.30 International Reserves and Gross Capital Flows Dynamics during Financial Stress
Enrique Alberola (Banco de España)
Aitor Erce (Banco de España)*
José Maria Serena (Banco de España)

Discussant: Iikka Korhonen (Bank of Finland)
17.15 The Impact of Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies on Emerging Economies
Feng Zhu (BIS)*
Qianying Chen (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)
Andrew Filardo (BIS)
Dong He (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Discussant: Patrizio Pagano (Banca d'Italia)
18.00 End of the first day
18.15 Departure from the Eurotower to the dinner venue by bus
19.00 Dinner (by invitation only)
Restaurant "Goldmund im Literaturhaus"
Schönen Aussicht 2, Frankfurt am Main

Dinner speech – Boris Vujčić (Deputy Governor of the Croatian National Bank)
Title : "Emerging Markets during the crises: Why this time was different?"
21.30 Departure to the hotels by bus
  * Presenting author

Day II – 2 December

  Session III – Chair: Iikka Korhonen (Bank of Finland) – Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets
9.00 Registration
9.30 Is Monetary Policy in New EU Member States Asymmetric?
Bořek Vašíček (Czech National Bank)

Discussant: Malte Knüppel (Deutsche Bundesbank)
10.15 The Future of International Capital Flows
William Speller (Bank of England)*
Gregory Thwaites (Bank of England)
Michelle Wright (Bank of England)

Discussant: Mark Spiegel (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)
11:00 Coffee break
11.30 Keynote Speaker: Nelson Mark (University of Notre Dame)
Title: “Household Saving and the Economic Rise of China: Demographics, Growth, and the Precautionary Motive”
12.30 – 14.00 Lunch (Foyer CIV)
14.00 Chinese Monetary Policy and the Dollar Peg
Ulrich Volz (German Development Institute)*
J. James Reade (University of Birmingham)

Discussant: Daniel Santabárbara (European Central Bank)
14.45 The Macroeconomic Effects of Reserve Requirements
Christian Glocker (Banque de France)*
Pascal Towbin (Banque de France)

Discussant: Adalbert Winkler (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management)
15.30 End of the workshop
  * Presenting author

1-2 December 2011

Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Motivation:

Emerging markets are becoming increasingly important in the global economy. In 2009, they accounted for 47% of world output in PPP terms and for almost 70% of global growth. Such important changes in the world economic order have prompted questions whether emerging markets have managed to decouple from fluctuations in advanced economies and how the linkages between advanced and emerging market economies have changed. Structural, financial and trade reform measures in emerging economies have been discussed in the past and progress in this regard may have important consequences not only for emerging market growth but also the interaction with other countries and global growth. Furthermore questions regarding competitiveness of emerging economies in a global environment have been raised.

The aftermath of the crisis has stimulated further the interest in the development of emerging economies, on account of their much stronger growth performance than that of advanced economies. It has to some extent also changed the focus of the debate as low interest rates in advanced economies and problems in their financial systems can have important consequences for the real and financial development in emerging countries.

Structural and cyclical pull and push factors have resulted into a strong wave of private capital flows towards emerging market economies. While capital inflows may be beneficial for the host countries, it may also complicate the domestic macroeconomic policy setting and increase financial stability risks.

This workshop is intended to address the above-mentioned questions which are currently at the centre of the policy debate in international fora, including the G20. The workshop is intended primarily for researchers and policymakers from central banks and other policy institutions.

For this purpose, papers are solicited in all areas of macroeconomics and finance in emerging markets, including:

  • Financial markets and financial market development
  • Financial integration and globalisation
  • Banking
  • International investment and capital flows
  • Financial crises and international spillovers
  • Exchange rates and competitiveness
  • Macro policies, including monetary policy
  • Macro prudential policies
  • Trade including trade in services

Submission of papers:

Interested authors should submit either a draft of the paper or an extended, detailed abstract by the 30th September 2011 to International.Secretariat@ecb.europa.eu. Authors of accepted papers will be notified by the end of October 2011. The final versions of the papers selected for the workshop are due by mid November 2011.

Organising committee:

The workshop will take place over 2 days and includes the following features:

  • 12-14 papers with discussants

General information

Workshop dates Thursday 1 December and Friday 2 December 2011
Workshop venue European Central Bank
Room CIV, 2nd floor
Eurotower
Kaiserstrasse 29
60311 Frankfurt am Main
Tel: +49 69 1344 0
Email: info@ecb.europa.eu
Dinner venue Restaurant Goldmund im Literaturhaus
Schönen Aussicht 2, Frankfurt am Main
Hotel accommodation Steigenberger Frankfurter Hof *****
Am Kaiserplatz
60311 Frankfurt
Tel.: +49 69 215-02, Fax: +49 69215-900
frankfurter-hof@steigenberger.de
www.steigenberger.com
Intercontinental *****
Wilhelm-Leuschner-Strasse 43
60329 Frankfurt
Tel.:+49 6926 05-0, Fax: +49 6925 24-67
FRAHA.reservations@ichotelsgroup.com
www.frankfurt.intercontinental.com
Organisers ECB
Marcel Fratzscher
International Policy Analysis Division
Tel: +49 69 1344 6871
marcel.fratzscher@ecb.europa.eu

Marco Lo Duca
International Policy Analysis Division
Tel: +49 69 1344 5690
marco.lo_duca@ecb.europa.eu

Isabel Vansteenkiste
International Policy Analysis Division
Tel: +49 69 1344 8446
isabel.vansteenkiste@ecb.europa.eu
Deutsche Bundesbank
Heinz Herrmann
Research Department
Tel: +49 69 9566 2312
heinz.herrmann@bundesbank.de
Contacts
(Logistical arrangements)
Ivana Schafferova
European Central Bank
International Policy Analysis Division
Tel: +49 69 1344 5310
International.secretariat@ecb.europa.eu

Silke Köhler
European Central Bank
Directorate Communications
Publishing, Events and Protocol Division
Tel: +49 69 1344 8671
evp-events@ecb.europa.eu
Katja Neuhaus
Deutsche Bundesbank
Conferences
Tel : +49 69 9566 3553
katja.neuhaus@bundesbank.de
Programme: The organisers reserve the right to change the conference programme without prior notice.