- Joint workshop of the European Central Bank and the Deutsche Bundesbank
9th ESCB Workshop on Emerging markets
Day I – 1 December
| 8.30 | Registration |
| 9.00 | Welcoming remarks by Peter Praet (Member of the Executive Board, European Central Bank) |
| 9.15 | Keynote speaker: Beatrice Weder di Mauro (German Council of Economic Experts and University of Mainz) Title: “What is an Emerging Market these days?” |
| Session I – Chair: Marcel Fratzscher (European Central Bank) – Banking and Emerging Markets | |
| 10.15 | Foreign Banks During the Crisis: Sinner or Saints? Ralph De Haas (EBRD)* Yevgeniya Korniyenko (EBRD) Elena Loukoianova (IMF) Alexander Pivovarsky (EBRD) Discussant: Zuzana Fungáčová (Bank of Finland) |
| 11:00 | Coffee break |
| 11.20 | Home Bank Intermediation of Foreign Direct Investment Steven Poelhekke (De Nederlandsche Bank) Discussant: Yevgeniya Korniyenko (EBRD) |
| 12.05 | Bank Funding, Securitization and Loan Terms: Evidence from Foreign Currency Lending Karolin Kirschenmann (Aalto University School of Economics)* Martin Brown (Swiss National Bank and CentER - Tilburg University) Steven Ongena (CentER - Tilburg University) Discussant: Livio Stracca (European Central Bank) |
| 12.50 – 14.30 | Lunch (Room CVII) |
| Session II – Chair: Heinz Herrmann (Deutsche Bundesbank) – Financial Markets and Capital Flows | |
| 14.30 | Central Bank Transparency and Financial Market Expectations: The Case of Emerging Markets Matthias Neuenkirch (Phillips-University Marburg) Discussant: Diego Saravia (Banco Central de Chile) |
| 15.15 | Spatial Spillovers in Emerging Market Spreads Tigran Poghosyan (IMF)* Emanuele Baldacci (IMF) Salvatore Dell’Erba (IMF) Discussant: Mardi Dungey (University of Tasmania and CAMA) |
| 16.00 | Coffee break |
| 16.30 | International Reserves and Gross Capital Flows Dynamics during Financial Stress Enrique Alberola (Banco de España) Aitor Erce (Banco de España)* José Maria Serena (Banco de España) Discussant: Iikka Korhonen (Bank of Finland) |
| 17.15 | The Impact of Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies on Emerging Economies Feng Zhu (BIS)* Qianying Chen (Hong Kong Monetary Authority) Andrew Filardo (BIS) Dong He (Hong Kong Monetary Authority) Discussant: Patrizio Pagano (Banca d'Italia) |
| 18.00 | End of the first day |
| 18.15 | Departure from the Eurotower to the dinner venue by bus |
| 19.00 | Dinner (by invitation only) Restaurant "Goldmund im Literaturhaus" Schönen Aussicht 2, Frankfurt am Main Dinner speech – Boris Vujčić (Deputy Governor of the Croatian National Bank) Title : "Emerging Markets during the crises: Why this time was different?" |
| 21.30 | Departure to the hotels by bus |
| * Presenting author |
Day II – 2 December
| Session III – Chair: Iikka Korhonen (Bank of Finland) – Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets | |
| 9.00 | Registration |
| 9.30 | Is Monetary Policy in New EU Member States Asymmetric? Bořek Vašíček (Czech National Bank) Discussant: Malte Knüppel (Deutsche Bundesbank) |
| 10.15 | The Future of International Capital Flows William Speller (Bank of England)* Gregory Thwaites (Bank of England) Michelle Wright (Bank of England) Discussant: Mark Spiegel (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco) |
| 11:00 | Coffee break |
| 11.30 | Keynote Speaker: Nelson Mark (University of Notre Dame) Title: “Household Saving and the Economic Rise of China: Demographics, Growth, and the Precautionary Motive” |
| 12.30 – 14.00 | Lunch (Foyer CIV) |
| 14.00 | Chinese Monetary Policy and the Dollar Peg Ulrich Volz (German Development Institute)* J. James Reade (University of Birmingham) Discussant: Daniel Santabárbara (European Central Bank) |
| 14.45 | The Macroeconomic Effects of Reserve Requirements Christian Glocker (Banque de France)* Pascal Towbin (Banque de France) Discussant: Adalbert Winkler (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management) |
| 15.30 | End of the workshop |
| * Presenting author |
1-2 December 2011
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Motivation:
Emerging markets are becoming increasingly important in the global economy. In 2009, they accounted for 47% of world output in PPP terms and for almost 70% of global growth. Such important changes in the world economic order have prompted questions whether emerging markets have managed to decouple from fluctuations in advanced economies and how the linkages between advanced and emerging market economies have changed. Structural, financial and trade reform measures in emerging economies have been discussed in the past and progress in this regard may have important consequences not only for emerging market growth but also the interaction with other countries and global growth. Furthermore questions regarding competitiveness of emerging economies in a global environment have been raised.
The aftermath of the crisis has stimulated further the interest in the development of emerging economies, on account of their much stronger growth performance than that of advanced economies. It has to some extent also changed the focus of the debate as low interest rates in advanced economies and problems in their financial systems can have important consequences for the real and financial development in emerging countries.
Structural and cyclical pull and push factors have resulted into a strong wave of private capital flows towards emerging market economies. While capital inflows may be beneficial for the host countries, it may also complicate the domestic macroeconomic policy setting and increase financial stability risks.
This workshop is intended to address the above-mentioned questions which are currently at the centre of the policy debate in international fora, including the G20. The workshop is intended primarily for researchers and policymakers from central banks and other policy institutions.
For this purpose, papers are solicited in all areas of macroeconomics and finance in emerging markets, including:
- Financial markets and financial market development
- Financial integration and globalisation
- Banking
- International investment and capital flows
- Financial crises and international spillovers
- Exchange rates and competitiveness
- Macro policies, including monetary policy
- Macro prudential policies
- Trade including trade in services
Submission of papers:
Interested authors should submit either a draft of the paper or an extended, detailed abstract by the 30th September 2011 to International.Secretariat@ecb.europa.eu. Authors of accepted papers will be notified by the end of October 2011. The final versions of the papers selected for the workshop are due by mid November 2011.
Organising committee:
- Heinz Hermann (Deutsche Bundesbank, heinz.herrmann@bundesbank.de)
- Isabel Vansteenkiste (ECB, Isabel.Vansteenkiste@ecb.europa.eu)
- Marco Lo Duca (ECB, Marco.Lo_Duca@ecb.europa.eu)
- Marcel Fratzscher (ECB, Marcel.Fratzscher@ecb.europa.eu)
The workshop will take place over 2 days and includes the following features:
- 12-14 papers with discussants
General information
| Workshop dates | Thursday 1 December and Friday 2 December 2011 | |
| Workshop venue | European Central Bank Room CIV, 2nd floor Eurotower Kaiserstrasse 29 60311 Frankfurt am Main Tel: +49 69 1344 0 Email: info@ecb.europa.eu |
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| Dinner venue | Restaurant Goldmund im Literaturhaus Schönen Aussicht 2, Frankfurt am Main |
|
| Hotel accommodation | Steigenberger Frankfurter Hof ***** Am Kaiserplatz 60311 Frankfurt Tel.: +49 69 215-02, Fax: +49 69215-900 frankfurter-hof@steigenberger.de www.steigenberger.com |
Intercontinental ***** Wilhelm-Leuschner-Strasse 43 60329 Frankfurt Tel.:+49 6926 05-0, Fax: +49 6925 24-67 FRAHA.reservations@ichotelsgroup.com www.frankfurt.intercontinental.com |
| Organisers | ECB Marcel Fratzscher International Policy Analysis Division Tel: +49 69 1344 6871 marcel.fratzscher@ecb.europa.eu Marco Lo Duca International Policy Analysis Division Tel: +49 69 1344 5690 marco.lo_duca@ecb.europa.eu Isabel Vansteenkiste International Policy Analysis Division Tel: +49 69 1344 8446 isabel.vansteenkiste@ecb.europa.eu |
Deutsche Bundesbank Heinz Herrmann Research Department Tel: +49 69 9566 2312 heinz.herrmann@bundesbank.de |
| Contacts (Logistical arrangements) |
Ivana Schafferova European Central Bank International Policy Analysis Division Tel: +49 69 1344 5310 International.secretariat@ecb.europa.eu Silke Köhler European Central Bank Directorate Communications Publishing, Events and Protocol Division Tel: +49 69 1344 8671 evp-events@ecb.europa.eu |
Katja Neuhaus Deutsche Bundesbank Conferences Tel : +49 69 9566 3553 katja.neuhaus@bundesbank.de |
| Programme: | The organisers reserve the right to change the conference programme without prior notice. | |