Jarociński, Marek

Economics

Division

Forecasting and Policy Modelling

Current position

Principal Economist

Fields of interest

Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics,
Mathematical and Quantitative Methods

Email

marek.jarocinski@ecb.europa.eu

Other current responsibilities
  • Secretary, Editorial Board of the ECB Working Papers Series
Education
  • 2000-2006
    PhD in Economics, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain
  • 1996-1997
    MSc in Economics, KU Leuven, Belgium
  • 1992-1996
    BA in Economics, Warsaw University, Poland
Professional experience
  • 2006-
    Economist/Senior Economist - Monetary Policy Research Division, International Policy Analysis Division, Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division
  • 1997-2000
    Researcher - Center for Social and Economic Research CASE, Warsaw
Teaching experience
  • 2008-
    Barcelona Graduate School of Economics, Bayesian time series courses in the Master of Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Markets
  • 2009-2017
    Short courses at the European Central Bank (2009,2010), Goethe University Frankfurt (2012), Deutsche Bundesbank (2013), Barcelona Macroeconometrics Summer School (2013-2015), Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (2014), Center for Central Banking Studies of the Bank of England (2014), London Business School (2017)
Awards
  • 2006
    Klaus Liebscher Award - award from the Central Bank of Austria for the paper Responses to Monetary Policy Shocks in the East and the West of Europe: A Comparison

ECB Research bulletin

2018
Jarociński, Marek, Karadi, Peter
The macroeconomic impact of news about policy and news about the economy in ECB announcements
No 50
2017
Jarociński, Marek, Maćkowiak, Bartosz
Monetary-fiscal interactions and the euro area’s vulnerability
No 36
Bobeica, Elena, Jarociński, Marek
Missing disinflation and missing inflation
No 30
2016
Jarociński, Marek, Lenza, Michele
How large is the output gap in the euro area
No 24

ECB Working Paper Series

2018
Jarociński, Marek, Karadi, Peter
Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks
No 2133
2017
Jarociński, Marek, Maćkowiak, Bartosz
Monetary-fiscal interactions and the euro area's malaise
No 2072
Jarociński, Marek, Bobeica, Elena
Missing disinflation and missing inflation: the puzzles that aren't
No 2000
2016
Corsetti, Giancarlo, Dedola, Luca, Jarociński, Marek, Maćkowiak, Bartosz, Schmidt, Sebastian
Macroeconomic stabilization, monetary-fiscal interactions, and Europe’s monetary union
No 1988
Lenza, Michele, Jarociński, Marek
An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area
No 1966
2015
Jarociński, Marek
A note on implementing the Durbin and Koopman simulation smoother
No 1867
2013
Jarociński, Marek, Maćkowiak, Bartosz
Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions
No 1600
2010
Marcet, Albert, Jarociński, Marek
Autoregressions in small samples, priors about observables and initial conditions
No 1263
Jarociński, Marek
Imposing parsimony in cross-country growth regressions
No 1234
2008
Jarociński, Marek
Responses to monetary policy shocks in the east and the west of Europe: a comparison
No 970
Smets, Frank, Jarociński, Marek
House Prices and the stance of Monetary Policy.
No 891
Ciccone, Antonio, Jarociński, Marek
Determinants of economic growth: will data tell?
No 852

Journal publications

2019
Jarociński, M. and Marcet, A.
Priors about Observables in Vector Autoregressions
Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming
Bobeica, E. and Jarociński, M.
Missing disinflation and missing inflation: a VAR perspective
International Journal of Central Banking, forthcoming
2018
Corsetti, G., Dedola, L., Jarociński, M., Maćkowiak, B. and Schmidt, S.
Macroeconomic stabilization, monetary-fiscal interactions, and Europe's monetary union
European Journal of Political Economy, in press
Jarociński, M. and Lenza, M.
An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 50(6), pp. 1189-1224
Jarociński, M. and Maćkowiak, B.
Monetary-fiscal interactions and the euro area's malaise
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 112, pp. 251-266
2017
Jarociński, M. and Maćkowiak, B.
Granger-causal priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions
Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 99(2), pp. 319-329
2015
Jarociński, M.
A note on implementing the Durbin and Koopman simulation smoother
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, Vol. 91, pp. 1-3
2010
Jarociński, M.
Conditional Forecasts and Uncertainty about Forecast Revisions in Vector Autoregressions
Economics Letters, Vol. 108(3), pp. 257-259
Jarociński, M.
Responses to monetary policy shocks in the east and the west of Europe: a comparison
Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 25(5), pp. 833-868
Ciccone, A. and Jarociński, M.
Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data tell?
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 2(4), pp. 222-46
2008
Jarociński, M. and Smets, F.
House Prices and the stance of Monetary Policy
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Vol. 90(4), pp. 339-365