European Central Bank Conference on Monetary Policy: bridging science and practice

Monday, 29 and Tuesday, 30 October 2018
Main Building, Press room
Frankfurt am Main

Policy panel with Christopher Sims, Catherine Mann, Ricardo Reis and Lars Svensson

Programme

Monday, 29 October 2018

8:30
Registration and coffee
9:00

Welcome address

Massimo Rostagno, European Central Bank

Session 1
Monetary policy and financial markets

This session focuses on the interplay between monetary policy and financial markets. In particular, it will shed light on how financial market information can help to measure and interpret monetary policy actions, and it will assess how standard and non-standard monetary policy measures are transmitted via the term structure of interest rates and other asset prices.

9:15

Keynote speech

Chair: Hans-Joachim Klöckers, European Central Bank

Hyun Song Shin, Bank for International Settlements

Exchange rates in monetary policy frameworks

10:15
Coffee break
 

Session chair: Oreste Tristani, European Central Bank

10:45

Measuring euro area monetary policy

  • Refet S. Gürkaynak*, Bilkent University
  • Carlo Altavilla, European Central Bank
  • Luca Brugnolini, Central Bank of Malta
  • Roberto Motto, European Central Bank
  • Giuseppe Ragusa, London Business School

Discussant: Michael McMahon, University of Oxford

11:30

A portfolio-balance approach to the nominal term structure

Thomas King, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Discussant: Lena Mareen Boneva, European Central Bank

12:15

Expected inflation, real rates, and stock-bond co-movement

Gregory R. Duffee, Johns Hopkins University

Discussant: Emanuel Mönch, Deutsche Bundesbank

13:00

Buffet lunch

 

Session 2
Monetary policy, credit and banking

This session focuses on the interplay between monetary policy and developments in credit aggregates and the banking system from both a microeconomic and a macroeconomic perspective. In particular, it analyses the bank lending channel of monetary policy – with a focus on loans, lending rates and funding conditions – and the transmission of monetary policy via banks, including the interaction with microprudential and macroprudential policies.

14:30

Keynote speech

Chair: Natacha Valla, European Central Bank

Money market functioning and interbank uncertainty

Harald Uhlig, University of Chicago

15:30

Coffee break

 

Session chair: Cornelia Holthausen, European Central Bank

16:00

Banking supervision, monetary policy and risk-taking: big data evidence from 15 credit registers

  • José-Luis Peydró*, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
  • Carlo Altavilla, European Central Bank
  • Miguel Boucinha, European Central Bank
  • Frank Smets, European Central Bank

Discussant: Enrico Sette, Banca d’Italia

16:45

The real effects of credit booms and busts

  • Egon Zakrajsek*, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Simon Gilchrist, New York University
  • Michael Siemer, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Discussant: Sascha Steffen, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management

17:30

Credit supply and housing speculation

  • Atif Mian*, Princeton University
  • Amir Sufi, University of Chicago

Discussant: Ester Faia, Goethe University Frankfurt

19:00

Dinner – by invitation only

20:30

Dinner speech

Tobias Adrian, International Monetary Fund

Alternative policy paths and the balance of risk

Tuesday, 30 October 2018

8:30
Registration and coffee
9:00

Opening address
Current challenges for the science of monetary policy

Christopher A. Sims, Princeton University

 

Session 3
Monetary policy frameworks and strategies

This session reviews the extent to which the main monetary policy paradigms developed by academics and policy institutions prior to the crisis would need to be revised in the light of measures taken by central banks to address the crisis and the evidence on how the economy responded to these measures. In particular, this session will cover issues related to the relevance of the Neo-Fisherian perspective, the transmission mechanism, determinants of the natural rate, unconventional measures and heterogeneity.

09:30

Keynote speech

Chair: Frank Smets, European Central Bank

Ricardo Reis, London School of Economics

Monetary policy and inflation through the prism of long-term rates

10:30
Coffee break
 

Session chair: Massimo Rostagno, European Central Bank

11:00

Interest rate conundrums in the 21st century

  • Jonathan Wright*, Johns Hopkins University
  • Samuel G. Hanson, Harvard Business School
  • David O. Lucca, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Discussant: Philippe Andrade, Banque de France

11:45

The Neo-Fisher effect

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Columbia University

Discussant: Florin Bilbiie, University of Lausanne

12:30

The liquidity trap: a unified theory of the Great Depression and the Great Recession

Gauti Eggertsson, Brown University

Discussant: Martin Ellison, University of Oxford

13:15
Buffet lunch
14:30

Policy panel

Chair: Peter Praet, European Central Bank

Panellists

  • Christopher A. Sims, Princeton University
  • Catherine Mann, Citi
  • Ricardo Reis, London School of Economics
  • Lars Svensson, Stockholm School of Economics
16:00

End of conference

* indicates the presenter
Please note that this programme may be subject to change without notice.

General information

Venue

European Central Bank
Main building, Press room
Sonnemannstrasse 20
60314 Frankfurt am Main

Conference language

English

Transfers

Participants are requested to arrange their own transfers, unless indicated otherwise.

Organising committee
  • Carlo Altavilla
  • Wolfgang Lemke
  • Roberto Motto
  • Natacha Valla

all European Central Bank

Contacts
  • Ana Maria Lupu
  • Eleni Anastasia Tzortzaki

+49 69 1344 0
conf.mon.pol@ecb.europa.eu